Irene continues some intensification, however, the ERC (Eyewall Replacement Cycle) took longer than anticipated, and thus, Irene missed an opportunity for a rapid intensification cycle. Irene remains a very large Category 3 storm, and its wind-field will likely be larger than the forecast cone. Storm surge coupled with high tides are affecting Florida, and injuries have been reported. We will monitor the development of this system. Additionally, the tropics over the next weeks should be very active, and we will provide more information as TD 10 and invest 91L continue their progression across the North Atlantic.
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HURRICANE IRENE DETAILS 18:00 Hrs. EDT, August 27
To all our colleagues:
As of 18:15 Hrs EDT August 27, there are now a total of 6 deaths reported in North Carolina and Virginia. The complacency by persons who can not grasp the seriousness of this event will most likely contribute to a high death toll in this hurricane. This storm situation is extremely critical over the next 36 to 60 hours. It is a 600 mile wide storm and it has slowed, as anticipated, to 12-13 MPH, with north-northeastward travel which will allow the heaviest rain concentrations, highest wind fields, high waves and severe storm surges to be present in any given location for roughly 14 to 19 hours.
This will be one for the record books and we wish that these types of records did not have to be kept.
We are continuing in prayer for all the victims and losses thus far, as well as for all the victims and losses into early this coming week, as this deadly storm moves north.
For up to the minute official advisories and information, please visit the NHC website in Miami:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
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"THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL ADVISORY. These updates and advisories are based upon information from our own computer models, NOAA, Local Weather Data Centers, deep water Buoy Data, and other publicly available sources. FOR THE SAFETY OF YOUR PROPERTY AND PERSON, please refer to your Local, State, and Federal Authority updates for Official Advisories and Orders. For up to the minute advisories and official updates, it is essential that you monitor your local Emergency Government, NOAA and Local Media Broadcasts. Please do not make personal safety decisions based upon information presented here in this Unofficial Advisory."
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